Today's Tip ,26th sept. : Nifty is Likely to be Range Bound

Nifty managed to recover some ground in the last session and closed above 5,670 psychological level. From here, Nifty is expected to move within a range as suggested by its technical indicators. Also, a high volatility is expected to be the order of the week ahead of F&O expiry. Resistance for Nifty now seems at 5,720-5,740 while support stand at 5,540-5,560. On upside if level of 5,720 breaches decisively then we could see rise up to the mark of 5,800, on the lower side if level of 5,540 is breaches then Nifty could retrace up to support of 5,500 mark. Technical indicators like MACD, RSI are also supporting its uptrend move. MACD is showing positive divergence, crossing its signal line (9 Days exponential moving average) from the below. RSI is at 70 level with positive divergence, which indicates positive bias may expect in the market.
On the derivatives front the Nifty Futures prices inclined along with incline in the open interest with incline in cost of carry indicating long position initiated at the lower level. For the coming days, 5,640-5,650 level would act as the strong support for Nifty. There was significant short accumulation was witnessed in ATM Put option. Most of the open interest accretion witnessed in the 5,700 put. On the flip side squaring off was seen between 5,700 and 5,800 strike Call Option which suggests a range of 5,650-5,750 for September expiry.The Volatility Index (VIX) declined significantly to 17.11% at end of the day. Decrease in VIX indicates Nifty is likely to trade with positive bias in initial hours of next days' trade. Volatility has a strong inverse correlation with markets. The put-call ratio of open interest declined on the last day of the week, butclosed below from the previous week at 0.99 levels. The options concentration has shifted to the 5,700 Call option.

SHORT TERM OUTLOOK ON STOCKS


Stocks with short term Bullish Outlook:
STOCK                                                S1                S2              R1                 R2
KOTAK MAHINDRA                     628.57          616.03        648.82          656.53
BHEL                                                245.53          237.37        258.93          264.17

Stocks with short term Bearish Outlook:
STOCK                                               S1                 S2              R1                  R2
JINDAL STEEL                                415.9            406.75         440.1            455.15
CAIRN INDIA                                 324.17           314.58        342.17           350.58

NEWS TO WATCH


1.  Goldman Sachs projects 18% return in next 12 months.
2.  Foreign Institutional Investments rains in September, Rs. 9000 crore.
3.  Rating agency cut Standard & Poor has lowered India’s GDP growth forecast to
      5.5% from 6.5% earlier.
4. Government lines up slew of reforms to attract foreign capital and to accelerate
     capital market.