MARKET OUTLOOK
Nifty is expected to move within a range as suggested by its technical indicators. Resistance for Nifty now seems at 5,720-5,740 while support stands at 5,540-5,560. On upside if level of 5,720 breaches decisively then we could see rise up to the mark of 5,800, on the lower side if level of 5,540 is breaches then Nifty could retrace up to support of 5,500 mark. Technical indicators like MACD, RSI are also supporting its uptrend move. MACD is showing positive divergence, crossing its signal line (9 Days exponential moving average) from the below. RSI is at 68 level on the verge of showing negative crossover, which indicates positive bias may expect in the market.
On the derivatives front the Nifty Futures prices inclined along with incline in the open interest with incline in cost of carry indicating long position initiated at the lower level. For the coming days, 5,640-5,650 level would act as the strong support for Nifty. There was significant short accumulation was witnessed in ATM Put option. Most of the open interest accretion witnessed in the 5,700 put. On the flip side squaring off was seen between 5,700 and 5,800 strike Call Option which suggests a range of 5,650-5,750 for September expiry.
SHORT TERM OUTLOOK ON STOCKS
Stocks with short term Bullish Outlook:
STOCK S1 S2 R1 R2
HCL TECH 569.43 555.42 593.18 602.92
LARSEN 1575.05 1551.95 1612.7 1627.25
Stocks with short term Bearish Outlook:
STOCK S1 S2 R1 R2
SAIL 84.13 82.62 88.03 90.42
SESA GOA 166.5 163.25 175.2 180.65
NEWS TO WATCH
1. General Motors to hike prices form 1stOctober
2. United Spirits up 9%, at 20-month high on stake sale hope
3. FinMin, RBI officials to meet today on H2 borrowings
4. Cement shares extend Wednesday's gains on hopes of rising demand
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