MARKET OUTLOOK                                                        

On daily chart Nifty exhibiting “descending triangle” which is bearish breakout pattern if lower trend line breaks.  Price is now near to lower trend line, and moving  within triangle. Nifty next resistance seems at 5,760 while support at 5,650 if nifty breaches 5,760 then we could see rally up to 5,800 on the flip side if the level of 5,650 breaches decisively then we could see fall up to strong support of 5,600.

                 Further most of the technical momentum indicators are currently suggesting downside. Stochastic is currently moving in overbought zone, on the brink of entering into negative territory indicating profit booking. RSI is reversing back after touching overbought zone and indicating more correction is due in near term. MACD is crossing 9 day EMA from the above and showing negative divergence, also indicating Nifty is in profit booking zone.

               It was largely a volatile session for the market on Tuesday. In fact, Nifty touched an Intraday low of 5,677.90, before closing with gains of 28.60 points at 5,704.60. But the bouts of profit booking due to Euro zone concerns and worries over fiscal deficit sent the index, in the second half of trade, closer to previous day’s closing value.

                                                     3 MONTHS DAILY CHART OF NIFTY

                                                SHORT TERM OUTLOOK ON STOCKS

Stocks with short term Bullish Outlook:

STOCK                                                      S1                   S2               R1                    R2

ULTRATECH CEMENT                        2019.47          1982.58       2078.57            2100.78

LARSEN                                                 1614.17           1595.53      1646.47             1660.13

Stocks with short term Bearish Outlook:

STOCK                                                     S1                     S2               R1                    R2

GAIL                                                        375.47             369.88         390.22             399.38

BHARTI AIRTEL                                     262.12             258.93         270.62             275.93

                                                               NEWS TO WATCH

1. Infosys September-quarter profit seen up 24.9%

2. Quarter-2 production of Cairn India up 22% YoY

3. NMDC cuts iron-ore price by 2-11% for October; will set prices every month.

4. IMF cuts India growth forecast to 4.9% from 6.2%

5. Bad days ahead for DLF, downward trending for two days.