NIFTY OUTLOOK - Market Updates Today 19 Dec. 2012

The Nifty is broadly range bound between 5,840 and 5,930, it keeps consolidating between this range and we see stock specific action in the midcap or certain sector specific stocks. The Nifty is correcting slowly and buying is coming in at lower levels, hence until we are above 5,840 traders should have a positive bias.

Nifty Future closed on positive note after last few days of consolidation at 5,860 level. It finished off at 5,928.90 at highest point of the day with a long legged hammer kind of candle.

The Sensex has supports at 19,270 and 19,150 and resistances at 19,500 and 19,620. The Nifty spot has supports at 5,875 and 5,840 and resistances at 5,935 and 5,965.

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NIFTY Updates for Today 18 Dec. 2012

The Nifty is broadly range bound between 5,840 and 5,930, it keeps consolidating between this range and we see stock specific action in the midcap or certain sector specific stocks. The Nifty is correcting slowly and buying is coming in at lower levels, hence until we are above 5,840 traders should have a positive bias, as I said on all declines the market is being bought into and on the weekly time frame the markets are looking very bullish.   

Nifty Future remained in a narrow trading band of 20-30 points and finally closed at 5,889.35 with a small black body candle. It is trying to find a base around 5,860 level and on the flip side it is facing tough resistance on the rise in the band of 5,930 level. 

The Sensex has supports at 19,190 and 19,080 and resistances at 19,350 and 19,480. The Nifty spot has supports at 5,838 and 5,800 and resistances at 5,885 and 5,925.

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Intraday NIFTY Updates for Today 06 Dec. 2012

The Nifty continued its sideways price action, another day of consolidation. And as I have been suggesting all declines would be bought into hence they would be shallow declines. We are on course towards 5,950 and higher towards 6,150. 

Nifty Future closed at 5,940.45 with a doji candle. Candle pattern implies indecision, however trend suggests it is in a strong up-trend. It closed just around 5,940 level and we believe a sustainable movement above this level would trigger fresh longs that would take it towards 6,005 and 6,180 as discussed. We expect market to open on a positive note due overnight policy amendment, so hold long and trade with a positive bias is advisable. 

The Sensex has supports at 19,350 and 19,250 and resistances at 19,450 and 19,550. The Nifty spot has supports at 5,870 and 5,850 and resistances at 5,930 and 5,950.

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NIFTY Intraday Updates for Today 04 Dec. 2012

As suspected the Nifty had a sideways day, a day of consolidation. And as I have suggested all declines would be bought into hence they would be shallow declines. We are still on course towards 5,920 and higher towards 6,150. Trend deciding level is 5,880. If Nifty shows strength above 5,880 levels, then rally to 5,920/5,950/6,000 may be seen. If Nifty does not show strength above 5,880 levels then selling pressure till 5,840/5,800/5,750 may be seen.

The Sensex has supports at 19,250 and 19,180 and resistances at 19,410 and 19,500. The Nifty spot has supports at 5,854 and 5,820 and resistances at 5,900 and 5,950.

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NIFTY OUTLOOK - Market Updates for Today 31 oct 2012

The Nifty opened and traded higher post the outcome of the RBI policy, it dropped a good 75 points in 45 minutes and then started to consolidate between 5,590 - 5,615. The Nifty has clearly broken down from the range it was in for many days however to initiate fresh shorts towards the end of the day would be risky as it has already fallen a lot and is close to support levels at 5,550 - 5,600. 

Nifty Future has broken down its ongoing consolidation and closed below its most crucial support level of 5,630. It closed at 5,628 with a big bearish candle pattern. This bearish reversal likely to take it towards 5,530 level so aggressive buying is not advisable at this juncture. However, we see 5,580 is a crucial level to act as a stationary support level on intraday basis. 

The Sensex has supports at 18,310 and 18,220 and resistances at 18,470 and 18,550. The Nifty spot has supports at 5,575 and 5,525 and resistances at 5,640 and 5,670.

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Nifty News Today 29 Oct. 2012

The Nifty has immediate support placed at 5,630 - 5,620 levels and a break below 5,630 is likely to make the correction a bit deeper to levels of 5,550 - 5,540. In the last trading session of the week Nifty managed to take resistance of its 9 and 26 period moving averages, trading above its moving averages and resistance level of 5,760 may take Nifty till 5,800 marks.
           The Nifty has immediate support placed at 5,630 - 5,620 levels and a break below 5,630 is likely to make the correction a bit deeper to levels of 5,550 - 5,540. In the last trading session of the week Nifty managed to take resistance of its 9 and 26 period moving averages, trading above its moving averages and resistance level of 5,760 may take Nifty till 5,800 marks.

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Todays Update : Nifty is likely to correct

Indian shares snapped four-day winning streak Friday owing to profit booking. The index had gained 79 points in early trade following Cabinet’s approval to 49% FDI in insurance and pension. Meanwhile, the NSE Nifty, which plunged 899 points intraday due to freak trade by brokerage house, declined 40.65points to end at 5,746.95. The index touched a low of 4,888.20 today due to faulty order punched by adealer of Emkay Shares and Stock Brokers while the BSE Sensex fell more than 300 points. The trading was halted by the NSE between 9:50 am to 10:05 am. On upside if level of 5,800 breaches decisively then we could see rise up to mark of 5,860, on the lower side if level of 5,700 is breaches then Nifty could retrace up to its mild support of 5,620 mark first and thereafter up to its strong support of 5,600. Technical momentum indicators are currently suggesting uptrend in it. Stochastic is currently moving in overbought zone, on the brink of entering into positive territory. RSI is trading in overbought territory at 76 showing negative crossover.Another momentum technical indicator MACD is trading in positive zone, showing positive divergence,also indicating uptrend.

                                             3 MONTHS DAILY CHART OF NIFTY


                                           SHORT TERM OUTLOOK ON STOCKS



Stocks with short term Bullish Outlook:

STOCK                                                     S1              S2            R1              R2
TATA MOTORS                                    239.17      197.78       302.22       323.88
HUL                                                        483.67      401.93       607.92       650.43

Stocks with short term Bearish Outlook:
STOCK                                                     S1              S2             R1              R2
HDFC                                                    662.2         574.45        806.75       863.55
HCLTECH                                             541.23       508.92        598.93       624.32



                                                     NEWS TO WATCH  TODAY

1. IVRCL plunges over 9 per cent as Essel Group offloads shares
2. HDFC plunges 6% as Carlyle sells 3.7% stake for nearly Rs4,300 crore
3. Oil India, IOC buy stake in US shale assets
4. Pepsi cuts price, Coke unlikely to follow the suit.
5. Hike in insurance FDI limit may attract Rs. 30k crore: IRDA

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Future & Options updates today.

          Today Nifty options suggest mkt range of 5300-5500.with total Puts add 38.5 lakh shares in Open Interest.Total Calls add 10 lakh shares in Open Interest.Highest OI buildup seen in 5300 Put & 5600 Call
5300 Put adds 9.9 lakh shares in Open Interest.
             5200 Put adds 3.25 lakh shares in Open Interest and 5600 Call adds 6.5 lakh shares in Open Interest. Also 5500 Call adds 5.12 lakh shares in Open Interest 5400 Put adds 14 lakh shares in Open Interest.
            Total Nifty Futures added 6.1 lakh shares in OI and Stock Futures adds 1.8 cr shares in OI.
Nifty PCR rose to 1.06 from 1.01
India VIX closed at 15.04 down by 2.21%

FIIs in F&O on September 12

FIIs net buy Rs 437 cr in Index Futures; Index Futures Open Int contracts up by 13123

FIIs net buy Rs 483 cr in Index Options; Index Options Open Int contracts up by 36708

FIIs net sell Rs 28 cr in Stock Futures; Stock Futures Open Int contracts up by 13260

Accumulate Ipca Labs; target of Rs 487: Dolat Capital

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