Wednesday, 31 October 2012

NIFTY OUTLOOK - Market Updates for Today 31 oct 2012


The Nifty opened and traded higher post the outcome of the RBI policy, it dropped a good 75 points in 45 minutes and then started to consolidate between 5,590 - 5,615. The Nifty has clearly broken down from the range it was in for many days however to initiate fresh shorts towards the end of the day would be risky as it has already fallen a lot and is close to support levels at 5,550 - 5,600. 

Nifty Future has broken down its ongoing consolidation and closed below its most crucial support level of 5,630. It closed at 5,628 with a big bearish candle pattern. This bearish reversal likely to take it towards 5,530 level so aggressive buying is not advisable at this juncture. However, we see 5,580 is a crucial level to act as a stationary support level on intraday basis. 

The Sensex has supports at 18,310 and 18,220 and resistances at 18,470 and 18,550. The Nifty spot has supports at 5,575 and 5,525 and resistances at 5,640 and 5,670.

Monday, 29 October 2012

Nifty News Today 29 Oct. 2012

The Nifty has immediate support placed at 5,630 - 5,620 levels and a break below 5,630 is likely to make the correction a bit deeper to levels of 5,550 - 5,540. In the last trading session of the week Nifty managed to take resistance of its 9 and 26 period moving averages, trading above its moving averages and resistance level of 5,760 may take Nifty till 5,800 marks.
           The Nifty has immediate support placed at 5,630 - 5,620 levels and a break below 5,630 is likely to make the correction a bit deeper to levels of 5,550 - 5,540. In the last trading session of the week Nifty managed to take resistance of its 9 and 26 period moving averages, trading above its moving averages and resistance level of 5,760 may take Nifty till 5,800 marks.

Tuesday, 16 October 2012

Nifty Market Outlook for 17 oct. 12


Nifty on corrective path
Indian shares closed  flat to higher on Monday after recouping losses in afternoon trade following positiveEuropean cues. Nifty went closer to 5700 level with the index hitting an intraday high of 5,693.70, before closing with gains of 11.20 points at 5,687.25. The much awaited inflation came in at 7.81 percent for the September, which was slightly higher compared to 7.55 percent in August due to hike in diesel price by Rs 5 a  liter in last month. But that was largely in-line with analysts' expectations of 7.73 percent.
        Nifty is expected to face support and resistance between 5,650 and 5,750. Currently, all the technical indicators are in the profit booking phase with RSI at the level of 58. However, MACD which has crossed-over for a bearish indication. The first resistance, for the week ahead, is 5,740 followed by 5,760. In case, Nifty crosses this psychological level, it can further test 5,800 mark on upside. While the first support, for the week ahead, will be at 5,650. A fall below that level could drag Nifty near to 5,600  after hitting fresh 2012 highs, the Indian benchmark indices are expected to take a breather before determining the next direction of the market. FIIs have a huge long position in cash segment but they don’t have in proportionate long positions in stock future, indicating selling could be emerged at higher levels.

                                              3 MONTHS DAILY CHART OF NIFTY


                                            SHORT TERM OUTLOOK ON STOCKS

Stocks with short term Bullish Outlook:
STOCK                                                           S1            S2          R1             R2
HINDALCO                                                 117.9        115.7     121.4        122.7
SIEMENS                                                    687.07      676.03   705.07       712.03

Stocks with short term Bearish Outlook:
STOCK                                                          S1             S2          R1              R2
MARUTI SUZUKI                                     1320.07     1301.88  1370.37    1402.48
INFOSYS                                                   2341.6       2317.6    2400.8       436






Tuesday, 9 October 2012

Nifty Market Chart & Update For 10 Oct 12


                                                           MARKET OUTLOOK                                                        

On daily chart Nifty exhibiting “descending triangle” which is bearish breakout pattern if lower trend line breaks.  Price is now near to lower trend line, and moving  within triangle. Nifty next resistance seems at 5,760 while support at 5,650 if nifty breaches 5,760 then we could see rally up to 5,800 on the flip side if the level of 5,650 breaches decisively then we could see fall up to strong support of 5,600.
                 Further most of the technical momentum indicators are currently suggesting downside. Stochastic is currently moving in overbought zone, on the brink of entering into negative territory indicating profit booking. RSI is reversing back after touching overbought zone and indicating more correction is due in near term. MACD is crossing 9 day EMA from the above and showing negative divergence, also indicating Nifty is in profit booking zone.
               It was largely a volatile session for the market on Tuesday. In fact, Nifty touched an intraday low of 5,677.90, before closing with gains of 28.60 points at 5,704.60. But the bouts of profit booking due to Euro zone concerns and worries over fiscal deficit sent the index, in the second half of trade, closer to previous day’s closing value.



                                                     3 MONTHS DAILY CHART OF NIFTY


                                                SHORT TERM OUTLOOK ON STOCKS

Stocks with short term Bullish Outlook:

STOCK                                                      S1                   S2               R1                    R2
ULTRATECH CEMENT                        2019.47          1982.58       2078.57            2100.78
LARSEN                                                 1614.17           1595.53      1646.47             1660.13

Stocks with short term Bearish Outlook:

STOCK                                                     S1                     S2               R1                    R2
GAIL                                                        375.47             369.88         390.22             399.38
BHARTI AIRTEL                                     262.12             258.93         270.62             275.93



                                                               NEWS TO WATCH

1. Infosys September-quarter profit seen up 24.9%
2. Quarter-2 production of Cairn India up 22% YoY
3. NMDC cuts iron-ore price by 2-11% for October; will set prices every month.
4. IMF cuts India growth forecast to 4.9% from 6.2%
5. Bad days ahead for DLF, downward trending for two days.



                                                         MARKET OUTLOOK                                                        

On daily chart Nifty exhibiting “descending triangle” which is bearish breakout pattern if lower trend line breaks.  Price is now near to lower trend line, and moving  within triangle. Nifty next resistance seems at 5,760 while support at 5,650 if nifty breaches 5,760 then we could see rally up to 5,800 on the flip side if the level of 5,650 breaches decisively then we could see fall up to strong support of 5,600.
                 Further most of the technical momentum indicators are currently suggesting downside. Stochastic is currently moving in overbought zone, on the brink of entering into negative territory indicating profit booking. RSI is reversing back after touching overbought zone and indicating more correction is due in near term. MACD is crossing 9 day EMA from the above and showing negative divergence, also indicating Nifty is in profit booking zone.
               It was largely a volatile session for the market on Tuesday. In fact, Nifty touched an Intraday low of 5,677.90, before closing with gains of 28.60 points at 5,704.60. But the bouts of profit booking due to Euro zone concerns and worries over fiscal deficit sent the index, in the second half of trade, closer to previous day’s closing value.



                                                     3 MONTHS DAILY CHART OF NIFTY


                                                SHORT TERM OUTLOOK ON STOCKS

Stocks with short term Bullish Outlook:

STOCK                                                      S1                   S2               R1                    R2
ULTRATECH CEMENT                        2019.47          1982.58       2078.57            2100.78
LARSEN                                                 1614.17           1595.53      1646.47             1660.13

Stocks with short term Bearish Outlook:

STOCK                                                     S1                     S2               R1                    R2
GAIL                                                        375.47             369.88         390.22             399.38
BHARTI AIRTEL                                     262.12             258.93         270.62             275.93



                                                               NEWS TO WATCH

1. Infosys September-quarter profit seen up 24.9%
2. Quarter-2 production of Cairn India up 22% YoY
3. NMDC cuts iron-ore price by 2-11% for October; will set prices every month.
4. IMF cuts India growth forecast to 4.9% from 6.2%
5. Bad days ahead for DLF, downward trending for two days.


Stock Tips & Nifty Tips For 9th Oct


The Sensex fell by over 229 points to close at 18,708.98 and Nifty closed at Rs 5676, fall down by 70.95 points from its previous closing.

Nifty Tips For 9th Oct 2012
Support1 = 5669 Support2 = 5641 Support3 = 5588
Resistance1 = 5750  Resistance2 = 5803  Resistance3 = 5831

BankNifty Support and TheRresistance Levels
Pivot Level = 11468
Support1 = 11351 Support2 = 11284 Support3 = 11168
Resistance1 = 11534  Resistance2 = 11650  Resistance3 = 11717

Stock Tips For Today 9 Oct 12

BUY Bharti Airtel Ltd. Med Term Target 350 Stop Loss 260

SELL Reliance Capital Ltd. Short Term Target 420 Stop Loss 455

BUY Reliance Power Ltd. Intraday Target 105 Stop Loss 100

BUY Orchid Chemicals -and- Pharmaceuticals Ltd. Med Term Target 135 Stop Loss 110

BUY Raj Oil Mills Ltd. Med Term Target 10 Stop Loss 6

Monday, 8 October 2012

Today's Nifty Future and option tips


The Indian market closed on negative side. Sensex closed at Rs 18,938 down 120 points from its previous closing and the Nifty ended at Rs 5,743.90, down 43.70 points or 0.76 percent.

Nifty Gainers were TATA MOTORS HIND UNI LT MAH & MAH ONG CORP LTD LARSEN & TOU HINDALCO IN RELIANCE SIEMENS COAL INDIA GAIL

Nifty Losers were HOUS DEV FIN H C L TECH REL INFRA WIPRO LTD SUN PHARMA TATA COM LTD LUPIN LTD inf SESA GOA LTD PUNJAB NATBK

Bearish Intraday Stocks 8 Oct 12

GRAVITA RUCHISOYA DISHTV BERGEPAINT MOTHERSUMI JSWISPAT MADRASCEM JYOTHYLAB DCHL INDIANB BIOCON MAX FDC
HEXAWARE ICSA HATHWAY 3IINFOTECH SATYAMCOMP ANDHRABANK MMTC CENTURYTEX JSWSTEEL DELTACORP RAYMOND MTNL GTL TTML     
Bullish Intraday Stocks 8 Oct 12

CROMPGREAV UNIPHOS TATAMTRDVR RECLTD SRTRANSFIN PFC TATAMOTORS LT ONGC ESCORTS DABUR HINDUNILVR JETAIRWAYS GTOFFSHORE CASTROL AMARAJABAT EDELWEISS ADANIENT