Tuesday 16 October 2012

Nifty Market Outlook for 17 oct. 12


Nifty on corrective path
Indian shares closed  flat to higher on Monday after recouping losses in afternoon trade following positiveEuropean cues. Nifty went closer to 5700 level with the index hitting an intraday high of 5,693.70, before closing with gains of 11.20 points at 5,687.25. The much awaited inflation came in at 7.81 percent for the September, which was slightly higher compared to 7.55 percent in August due to hike in diesel price by Rs 5 a  liter in last month. But that was largely in-line with analysts' expectations of 7.73 percent.
        Nifty is expected to face support and resistance between 5,650 and 5,750. Currently, all the technical indicators are in the profit booking phase with RSI at the level of 58. However, MACD which has crossed-over for a bearish indication. The first resistance, for the week ahead, is 5,740 followed by 5,760. In case, Nifty crosses this psychological level, it can further test 5,800 mark on upside. While the first support, for the week ahead, will be at 5,650. A fall below that level could drag Nifty near to 5,600  after hitting fresh 2012 highs, the Indian benchmark indices are expected to take a breather before determining the next direction of the market. FIIs have a huge long position in cash segment but they don’t have in proportionate long positions in stock future, indicating selling could be emerged at higher levels.

                                              3 MONTHS DAILY CHART OF NIFTY


                                            SHORT TERM OUTLOOK ON STOCKS

Stocks with short term Bullish Outlook:
STOCK                                                           S1            S2          R1             R2
HINDALCO                                                 117.9        115.7     121.4        122.7
SIEMENS                                                    687.07      676.03   705.07       712.03

Stocks with short term Bearish Outlook:
STOCK                                                          S1             S2          R1              R2
MARUTI SUZUKI                                     1320.07     1301.88  1370.37    1402.48
INFOSYS                                                   2341.6       2317.6    2400.8       436






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